Institutional Data

The reference index for the next generation of inflation derivatives.

Pension funds deserve better than a monthly, survey-based lag. Truflation delivers real-time, on-chain, independently verifiable inflation data.

40–75 daysahead of official CPI
Polymarket · 2026
100%
probability of US inflation exceeding 3% this year
Truflation lead over official CPI
40–75 days
100%
Polymarket probability of US inflation exceeding 3% in 2026
40–75d
Lead over official CPI releases
±0.1pp
Accuracy vs CPI, 2024–2025
$71T
Global pension fund assets

The Moment

Pension managers are facing an inflation environment not seen in decades.

Oil prices, tariff pass-through, fiscal expansion, and drifting household expectations are all converging. The demand for credible real-time inflation data has never been higher.

The Problem

Every existing hedge is priced off the same lagged reference.

Government CPI: monthly release, survey methodology, static weights. Truflation tracks the same basket daily and leads CPI turning points by 40–75 days, within ±0.1pp.

Truflation vs Legacy CPI

Strategic position

Dimension
Truflation-Referenced
Legacy CPI-Linked
Data freshness
Daily / real-time
Monthly, 30-day+ lag
Transparency
Open methodology, 100M+ data points
Opaque, political pressure risk
Lead indicator
40–75 days ahead of official CPI
Lagging
On-chain
Native via Chainlink / TSN
None
Prediction markets
Built-in via TRUF.network
None
Customization
Sector, geography, asset-class-specific
Fixed national basket
Pension & Annuity Use Cases

Four ways institutions put Truflation to work

LDI overlays

Dynamic hedge ratios that update daily, not monthly.

Annuity pricing

A more accurate cost-of-living reference reduces adverse selection.

Swap settlement reference

Replace or complement CPI as the index for bilateral contracts.

Breakeven signals

Act on forward-looking market breakevens before official releases.

Why Now

Three structural forces are converging.

100%

Rising inflation uncertainty

Prediction markets price 100% probability of above-3% US inflation in 2026. Demand for precision hedging is acute.

~50%

Institutional derivatives adoption surging

Hedge funds now represent ~50% of inflation swap gross notional, up from under 20% in 2018.

$846T

Data transparency imperative

Post-2022, institutions face mounting scrutiny on reference data quality. A blockchain-anchored open methodology directly addresses what regulators demand.

The $70+ trillion pension fund market needs better data. Truflation has it.

Real-time, on-chain, independently verifiable. Built to become the reference index for pension-grade inflation swaps and annuity-linked structured products.

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