T-1: Tomorrow's government
numbers, today.
99.93% Accuracy predicting government numbers — before they publish them.
Most people wait for the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Others position before it.
See the signal free · Pay for the edge
99.93%
Forecast Accuracy
38-month average
±0.11%
Avg error vs BLS
Since inception
100%
Forecast Accuracy
2026 to date
Print in
--:--:--
Live pricing data points to continued pressure in key components. The official print is likely to surprise.
- › Exact range: X.XX% – X.XX%
- › Component drivers: Shelter +0.41, Energy +0.18…
- › Confidence: XX / 100
"Positioning happens before the release — not after."
Be Early. Or Be Exit Liquidity.
Get the T-1 forecast for every major release.
What is T-1?
T-1 = Time Minus One Day
We don't react to inflation data. We anticipate what the Bureau of Labor Statistics and Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish — before they publish it.
T-1 (tee minus one) takes Truflations hundreds of millions of real time data points from hundreds of qualified and verified data sources, delays the data, maps these to the BLS categories and weightings to run it through our forecasting engines.
Truflation tracks where CPI is heading in real time, so you have the data a full day before the official BLS release and enough time to be proactive, not just reactive.
Truflation T-1 Signal
Time Minus One Day
The official number is a lagging indicator. Truflation synthesises live pricing signals to deliver a leading estimate, calibrated against historical accuracy with every release.
Tracks ahead of
The results speak for themselves.
Harnessing 100M+ Data Points for Unmatched Inflation Forecasting
| Year / Month | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar | Feb | Dec | Nov | Oct | Sep | Aug | Jul | Jun | May | Apr | Mar | Feb | Dec | Nov | Oct | Sep | Aug | Jul | Jun | May | Apr | Mar | Feb | Dec | Nov | Oct | Sep | Aug | Jul | Jun | May | Apr | Mar | Feb | |
| BLS (%) | 3.3 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.7 | N/A | 3.0 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 6.0 |
| Truflation (%) | 3.3 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 6.1 |
| Deviation (%) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Avg. deviation (year) | 0.00% | 0.07% | 0.06% | 0.14% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Overall avg. deviation | 0.076% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
*January data excluded due to BLS annual weighting changes
The Forecast. Before It Matters.
Live pricing data points to continued pressure in key components. The official print is likely to surprise.
Insight
Live pricing data points to continued pressure in key components. The official print is likely to surprise.
Full Forecast Breakdown
This is what informed positioning looks like.
Anyone can read the number.
Very few understand it before it hits.
- 01Where consensus is wrong, and by how much
- 02What's actually driving the print, component by component
- 03How reliable the signal is, calibrated confidence score
T-1 Signal Accuracy
Backtested across 36 months of CPI and PCE releases. Results based on T-1 signal vs. official BLS/BEA publications.
The choice is yours
